BUBBLE WATCH 2016

-As of March 13, 2016 at 2:33 PM

The last four teams with byes IN the tournament but still on the bubble are:
Cincinnati, Oregon St, Temple, and Pittsburgh

The last four teams IN the tournament and playing in the play-in round but still on the bubble are:
South Carolina, Monmouth, San Diego St, and Michigan

The first six teams OUT of the tournament but still on the bubble are:
St. Mary’s, St. Bonaventure, Vanderbilt, Syracuse, George Washington, and Valporaiso

NOTE: We saw bid snatchers’ Gonzaga, Iona, Fresno St, and Green Bay knock out the only at-large bid contenders in their respective conferences on Monday and Tuesday which expanded the bubble even more by adding Monmouth, St. Mary’s, San Diego St, and Valporaiso to the list of teams that will be sweating on Selection Sunday.

Other bid snatchers at the mid-major level are the Sun Belt champion if Arkansas-Little Rock is not their champion as well as Memphis if they beat UConn in the American Conference Tournament.

According to ESPN.com the bubble teams have these statistical comparisons:

UConn:                  23-10 (11-7)  RPI: 37     BPI: 30    SOS:  46    Record vs. RPI Top 50: 3-5

Oregon St:            19-12 (9-9)     RPI: 29    BPI: 61    SOS:  13    Record vs. RPI Top 50: 5-9

Temple:                 21-11 (14-4)   RPI: 63    BPI: 68    SOS:  89    Record vs. RPI Top 50: 5-6

Pittsburgh:            21-11 (9-9)     RPI: 49    BPI: 43    SOS:  32    Record vs. RPI Top 50: 2-7

South Carolina:    24-8 (11-7)     RPI: 58    BPI: 38   SOS: 153    Record vs. RPI Top 50: 1-1

Monmouth:           27-7 (17-3)    RPI: 57    BPI: 86    SOS: 206   Record vs. RPI Top 50: 2-2

San Diego St:        25-9 (16-2)     RPI: 42    BPI: 56    SOS:  70    Record vs. RPI Top 50: 1-4

St. Mary’s:             27-5 (15-3)     RPI: 41    BPI: 31    SOS: 164   Record vs. RPI Top 50: 2-2

Michigan:              22-12 (10-8)   RPI: 58    BPI: 54    SOS:  44    Record vs. RPI Top 50: 4-11

St. Bonaventure:  22-8 (14-4)     RPI: 30    BPI: 74    SOS:  82    Record vs. RPI Top 50: 3-2

Vanderbilt:            19-13 (11-7)   RPI: 62    BPI: 25    SOS:  43    Record vs. RPI Top 50: 2-7

Syracuse:              19-13 (9-9)      RPI: 68    BPI: 39    SOS:  41    Record vs. RPI Top 50: 5-9

George Wash.:     23-10 (11-7)    RPI: 64    BPI: 60   SOS: 121    Record vs. RPI Top 50: 3-6

Valparaiso:            26-6 (16-2)     RPI: 50    BPI: 41   SOS: 178    Record vs. RPI Top 50: 1-1