BRACKETOLOGY 2018

Predicting the NCAA Tournament requires knowledge about the selection process, historical decisions made by the committee, the criteria that the committee uses, each team’s statistics, and a little bit of luck. Aside from a team’s record and conference standing, the NCAA selection committee tend to stress quality wins, non-conference strength of schedule, how teams performed with and without injured key players, and RPI as well. Once the committee has selected the top 68 teams for the tournament, they rank each team from 1-68 and give them a seed. Finally, each seed is placed in one of four parts of the bracket, the East, Midwest, South, and West respectively. This stage is largely determined by geographic location but the committee also does not place too many teams from the same conference in the same bracketed region. When both of those criteria are not a factor, the committee places teams on the bracket by their rank, for example, they will not put the best 1 seed, the best 2 seed, and the best 3 seed in the same region. The following bracket shows my predictions for the NCAA Tournament if it started right now. I ranked and seeded each team using the committee’s criteria and my criteria.

KEY:

1, 2, 3, etc. = Seeds

Blue Text = Current conference leader or automatic bid

 

Last Modified: March 9, 2018 at 11:48 AM PST

EAST REGION

 

1. Villanova _________ _________ _________ _________
16. NC A&T / Ark-PB
8. Missouri _________
9. Kansas St
5. West Virginia _________ _________
12. New Mexico St  
4. Michigan _________
13. Buffalo
6. Kentucky _________ _________ _________
11. Boise State/Texas
3. Cincinatti _________
14. Bucknell
7. Texas A&M _________ _________
10. NC State
2. Duke _________
15. Lipscomb

 

MIDWEST REGION

 

1. Xavier _________ _________ _________ _________
16. LIU-Brooklyn
8. Houston _________
9. Florida State
5. Ohio State _________ _________
12. Loyola Chicago
4. Clemson _________
13. Vermont
6. Miami _________ _________ _________
11. ASU / Oklahoma
3. North Carolina _________
14. South Dakota St
7. Arkansas _________ _________
10. Virginia Tech
2. Purdue _________
15. Iona

 

SOUTH REGION

 

1. Virginia _________ _________ _________ _________
16. Harvard
8. Creighton _________
9. St. Mary’s
5. Rhode Island _________ _________
12. Western Kentucky
4. Wichita State _________
13. UNC-Greensboro
6. TCU _________ _________ _________
11. Middle Tennessee
3. Texas Tech _________
14. Charleston
7. Seton Hall _________ _________
10. UCLA
2. Auburn _________
15. Wright State

 

WEST REGION

 

1. Kansas _________ _________ _________ _________
16. NSURadford
8. Butler _________
9. Alabama
5. Gonzaga _________ _________
12. Louisiana
4. Arizona _________
13. Murray State
6. Florida _________ _________ _________
11. Providence
3. Clemson _________
14. Montana
7. Nevada _________ _________
10. St. Bonaventure
2. Michigan State _________
15. UC Santa Barbara